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Cable Weaker as BoE Expected to Hold Interest Rates

The pound declined nearly one percent to $1.6494 just before noon in London today on the latest reports indicating manufacturing declined in March. The Chartered Institute of Purchasing and Supply index which measures manufacturing activity in the UK declined from 56.7 to 54.6 for the month of March.

Based on the weaker data, odds that the Bank of England will not raise interest rates have increased and this has investors selling the pound in favor of higher-yielding currencies. The euro is one such destination as speculation is largely onside with a rate increase for June.

“The chance of a rate hike in May has been priced out of the market, and that’s been corroborated by the manufacturing data,” said Stephen Gallo, head of market analysis at Schneider Foreign Exchange in London. “The comments by King have also gotten sterling bulls pretty worried. The market today is pushing back its rate-hike expectations, so that’s why the two- year note yield is dropping.”

Source: Bloomberg

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Posted by Staff at 7:16 am UTC, 05/24/2012
Posted by Dean Popplewell at 6:32 am UTC, 05/24/2012
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May
24
Today’s Global
Market Events
8:30am

CAD
Corporate Profits q/q
9.0%
USD
Core Durable Goods Orders m/m
1.1% vs. -0.8%
USD
Unemployment Claims
372K vs. 370K
USD
Durable Goods Orders m/m
0.5% vs. -4.0%
9:00am

EUR
ECB President Draghi Speaks
EUR
Belgium NBB Business Climate
-10.6 vs. -10.7
10:30am

USD
FOMC Member Dudley Speaks
USD
Natural Gas Storage
77B vs. 61B
1:00pm

USD
FOMC Member Dudley Speaks
3:00pm

USD
Treasury Sec Geithner Speaks
7:30pm

JPY
Tokyo Core CPI y/y
-0.5% vs. -0.5%
JPY
National Core CPI y/y
0.1% vs. 0.2%