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China growth may slide below 9% in 2012

China’s economic growth in 2012 may drop below 9 percent for the first time in a decade, a senior Chinese foreign exchange official said on Tuesday, underlining the gloom in Beijing over the deteriorating health of the global economy.

Still, Huang Guobo, the chief economist at China’s currency regulator, the State Administration of Foreign Exchange, told a forum that policy would remain focused on controlling inflation in coming months.

That echoed comments last week by Premier Wen Jiabao, who said inflation is unacceptably high.

“The Chinese economy is facing serious challenges despite strong growth,” Huang said. “The weakening global demand for Chinese exports will be a challenge…Next year, if the situation continues, China’s growth rate may fall below 9 percent.”

Huang is not the first of China’s many government economists to forecast slower growth. But his statement could signal a strengthening view in the government that growth in the world’s second-biggest economy is moderating.

Reuters

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Posted by Staff at 7:16 am UTC, 05/24/2012
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May
24
Today’s Global
Market Events
8:30am

CAD
Corporate Profits q/q
9.0%
USD
Core Durable Goods Orders m/m
1.1% vs. -0.8%
USD
Unemployment Claims
372K vs. 370K
USD
Durable Goods Orders m/m
0.5% vs. -4.0%
9:00am

EUR
ECB President Draghi Speaks
EUR
Belgium NBB Business Climate
-10.6 vs. -10.7
10:30am

USD
FOMC Member Dudley Speaks
USD
Natural Gas Storage
77B vs. 61B
1:00pm

USD
FOMC Member Dudley Speaks
3:00pm

USD
Treasury Sec Geithner Speaks
7:30pm

JPY
Tokyo Core CPI y/y
-0.5% vs. -0.5%
JPY
National Core CPI y/y
0.1% vs. 0.2%