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German Business Confidence on a Nine-Month High

German business confidence increased to a nine-month high in April. According to the recent report from the Ifo institute, the business climate index, based on a survey of 7,000 executives, rose to 109.9 in April from 109.8 in March. Ifo’s executives’ expectations remained unchanged at 102.7, and a measure of the current situation increased to 117.5 from 117.4, while economists were expecting a decline across all these indicators.

The fact that the expectations index did not decline suggests that German companies believe that policy makers would take the necessary steps to manage renewed market concerns about Italy and Spain and contain the sovereign debt crisis.

Investor confidence rose to a two-year high this month. Unemployment dropped to 6.7 percent in March. Factory orders rose 0.3 percent in February and exports increased for a second month in a row.

The Finance Ministry reiterated this point today saying that German corporate tax revenue grew 22 percent in March from a year earlier due to stronger export growth led by demand from outside Europe and falling unemployment, which fuels domestic consumer spending.

The recent data suggests that the German economy, which contracted in the final quarter of last year, is on the way to recovery and may have avoided a recession.

Source: Bloomberg

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Posted by Alfonso Esparza at 2:47 pm EDT, 06/18/2013
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June
18
Today’s Global
Market Events
12:30am

JPY
Revised Industrial Production m/m
(F)1.7% (P)1.7%
2:00am

EUR
ECB President Draghi Speaks
4:30am

GBP
CPI y/y
(F)2.6% (P)2.4%
GBP
PPI Input m/m
(F)0.1% (P)-2.3%
GBP
RPI y/y
(F)3.1% (P)2.9%
GBP
Core CPI y/y
(F)2.1% (P)2%
GBP
HPI y/y
(F)2.6% (P)2.7%
GBP
PPI Output m/m
(F)0% (P)-0.1%
5:00am

EUR
German ZEW Economic Sentiment
(F)38.2 (P)36.4
EUR
ZEW Economic Sentiment
(F)29.4 (P)27.6
Tentative

GBP
BOE Inflation Letter
8:30am

USD
Building Permits
(F)0.98M (P)1.01M
USD
Core CPI m/m
(F)0.2% (P)0.1%
USD
CPI m/m
(F)0.1% (P)-0.4%
USD
Housing Starts
(F)0.95M (P)0.85M
Day 2

ALL
G8 Meetings
6:45pm

NZD
Current Account
(F)-0.64B (P)-3.26B
7:50pm

JPY
Trade Balance
(F)-0.89T (P)-0.76T
8:00pm

AUD
CB Leading Index m/m
(F)N/A (P)0.1%
8:30pm

AUD
MI Leading Index m/m
(F)N/A (P)0.2%