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EUR/USD to wait ECB decision after 4th of July US Holiday

With Greek elections and Spanish banking rescues addressed in the European summit. Analysts are now starting to forecast the probability of a ECB benchmark rate cut on Thursday. European data was weaker which makes the case for a rate cut. Adding to that even the policital winds have changed. Once favouring austerity only measures to solve the crisis, the case has now been made that financial stimulus should be an alternative to restart the Euporean economy.

With the US Fourth of July holiday coming up on Wednesday the market will be waiting for the announcements from the European Central BAnk as well as the Bank of England which is set to make a rate announcement first. The market is already starting to price a rate cut, with saw the EUR lose ground versus the USD before the fourth of July holiday.

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Posted by Stuart McPhee at 11:53 pm EDT, 05/22/2013
Posted by Mingze Wu at 11:47 pm EDT, 05/22/2013
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Posted under JPY at 8:54 pm EDT, 05/22/2013
Posted under JPY at 8:51 pm EDT, 05/22/2013
Comments (2)
1

Rightly said. I hope to see a rate cut for Euro of min 0.25%
This may pull down EUR/USD to 1.2500 again or even 1.2450 IMO

2

EUR/USD already reached 1.2507.

Next move to 1.2450

by

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Posted by Mingze Wu at 11:47 pm EDT, 05/22/2013
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May
23
Today’s Global
Market Events
1:00am

JPY
BOJ Monthly Report
3:00am

EUR
French Flash Manufacturing PMI
(F)44.8 (P)44.4
EUR
French Flash Services PMI
(F)44.7 (P)44.3
3:30am

EUR
German Flash Manufacturing PMI
(F)48.6 (P)48.1
EUR
German Flash Services PMI
(F)50.2 (P)49.6
4:00am

EUR
Flash Manufacturing PMI
(F)47.1 (P)46.7
EUR
Flash Services PMI
(F)47.4 (P)47
EUR
Italian Retail Sales m/m
(F)0.3% (P)-0.2%
4:30am

GBP
Second Estimate GDP q/q
(F)0.3% (P)0.3%
GBP
Prelim Business Investment q/q
(F)1.7% (P)-0.8%
GBP
Index of Services 3m/3m
(F)0.7% (P)0.1%
6:05am

USD
FOMC Member Bullard Speaks
8:30am

USD
Unemployment Claims
(F)347K (P)360K
9:00am

USD
Flash Manufacturing PMI
(F)51.6 (P)52.1
USD
HPI m/m
(F)0.9% (P)0.7%
10:00am

EUR
Consumer Confidence
(F)-22 (P)-22
USD
New Home Sales
(F)429K (P)417K
10:30am

USD
Natural Gas Storage
(F)90B (P)99B
3:30pm

EUR
ECB President Draghi Speaks
6:45pm

NZD
Trade Balance
(F)468M (P)718M
10:55pm

JPY
BOJ Gov Kuroda Speaks