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German Opposition to Fight European Rescue Fund

There was some surprise when during the European Summit, Germany agreed to the EMS given the statements given by German Chancellor Angela Merkel. As posted earlier it was seen as a victory by Italian Prime Minister Mario Monti. Merkel was seen to be on the defensive this time as the anti-austerity movement was boosted by the defeat of her austerity ally Sarkozy by Francois Hollande.

Merkel’s combative tone was almost abscent during the European Summit and now that which boosted the EUR versus the USD is coming back to haunt the Chancellor. The Bavarian CSU, is the sister party of the Chancellor’s CDU and is threatening to quit the coalition formed by Angela Merkel if other eurozone states secure additional bailout funds.

It might all add up to rethoric, but the fact remains that in the German public’s mind Merkel came out of the European Summit defetead and the clear winners were Italy and Spain. Germany does not hold another election until September 2013, but the largest opposition party is gaining ground by pushing a no support for the banking bailouts in Europe.

The Euro crisis has made Merkel’s national star rise and cemented her position as Germany’s leader, but it can also be her ruin as the opposition party SPD continues to regain the foothoold it lost in the 2009 elections. The third most popular politician is Hannelore Kraft premier of North Rhine-Westphalia a member of the SPD.

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May
23
Today’s Global
Market Events
1:00am

JPY
BOJ Monthly Report
3:00am

EUR
French Flash Manufacturing PMI
(F)44.8 (P)44.4
EUR
French Flash Services PMI
(F)44.7 (P)44.3
3:30am

EUR
German Flash Manufacturing PMI
(F)48.6 (P)48.1
EUR
German Flash Services PMI
(F)50.2 (P)49.6
4:00am

EUR
Flash Manufacturing PMI
(F)47.1 (P)46.7
EUR
Flash Services PMI
(F)47.4 (P)47
EUR
Italian Retail Sales m/m
(F)0.3% (P)-0.2%
4:30am

GBP
Second Estimate GDP q/q
(F)0.3% (P)0.3%
GBP
Prelim Business Investment q/q
(F)1.7% (P)-0.8%
GBP
Index of Services 3m/3m
(F)0.7% (P)0.1%
6:05am

USD
FOMC Member Bullard Speaks
8:30am

USD
Unemployment Claims
(F)347K (P)360K
9:00am

USD
Flash Manufacturing PMI
(F)51.6 (P)52.1
USD
HPI m/m
(F)0.9% (P)0.7%
10:00am

EUR
Consumer Confidence
(F)-22 (P)-22
USD
New Home Sales
(F)429K (P)417K
10:30am

USD
Natural Gas Storage
(F)90B (P)99B
3:30pm

EUR
ECB President Draghi Speaks
6:45pm

NZD
Trade Balance
(F)468M (P)718M
10:55pm

JPY
BOJ Gov Kuroda Speaks