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Week in FX Europe – Protests Deflate EUR

Europe is facing an austerity backlash. Protests in Portugal, Spain and Greece speak volumes about what the citizens in those countries think of proposed measures to comply to European Union agreements. Germany continues to be the strongest economy and this week Angela Merkel has renewed her support of the eurozone. This happened during an event honoring former Chancellor Helmut Kohl the German political figure who was instrumental on the creation of the euro. Germany has ratified the European Stability Mechanism (ESM) but has capped German contribution to 190 billion euros.

Portugal has a 15.7% unemployment rate by official figures and up to 20% if people who have stopped looking for work are accounted for. At times 10% of its population has marched on the streets protesting the tax hikes and other austerity measures.

Spain has proposed a 39 billion euro austerity package with its 2013 budget. Unemployment rate in Spain is well above 20%. Protests have gotten violent and 5 regions have asked the goverment for financial aid. The austerity measures include unpopular items such as wage freezes for public sector workers, tax increases and spending cuts.

Speaking of unpopular decisions. The French goverment has confirmed that there will be a new tax rate of 75% for people earning over 1 million euros. This is part of an effort to reduce the deficit by 10 billion euros.

 

WEEK AHEAD

  • USD ISM Manufacturing
  • AUD Reserve Bank of Australia Rate Decision
  • GBP Bank of England Rate Decision
  • EUR European Central Bank Rate Decision
  • USD Fed Releases Minutes from Sept. 13 FOMC Meeting
  • JPY Bank of Japan Rate Decision
  • USD Change in Nonfarm Payrolls
  • USD Unemployment Rate
  • CAD Unemployment Rate

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May
24
Today’s Global
Market Events
2:00am

EUR
GfK German Consumer Climate
(F)6.2 (P)6.2
EUR
German Final GDP q/q
(F)0.1% (P)0.1%
3:00am

GBP
MPC Member Fisher Speaks
4:00am

EUR
German Ifo Business Climate
(F)104.6 (P)104.4
4:30am

GBP
BBA Mortgage Approvals
(F)32.7K (P)31.2K
6:00am

EUR
German Buba President Weidmann Speaks
8:30am

USD
Core Durable Goods Orders m/m
(F)0.6% (P)-1.5%
USD
Durable Goods Orders m/m
(F)1.8% (P)-6.9%
9:00am

EUR
Belgium NBB Business Climate
(F)-13.4 (P)-14.7