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US Treasuries Safe from Default after Nod from Obama

President Barack Obama may have just hinted that his administration will prioritize payment on government bonds over other obligations—a move that would allow the United States to avoid a default on its debt in the event that the debt ceiling is not raised.

At a press conference at the White House, Obama listed a number of programs that the government would not be able to pay for if the debt ceiling isn’t raised. He included such things as Social Security benefits, salaries for air-traffic control and veteran’s benefits. But he quite clearly—and almost certainly, intentionally—left out the idea that the U.S. might not make all debt payments as they come due.

“If congressional Republicans refuse to pay America’s bills on time, Social Security checks, and veterans benefits will be delayed. We might not be able to pay our troops, or honor our contracts with small business owners. Food inspectors, air traffic controllers, specialist who track down loose nuclear materials wouldn’t get their paychecks,” Obama said.

When he did mention debt, it was not in the context of the government delaying payments. Instead he spoke of questions that might be raised by financial markets.

CNBC

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June
18
Today’s Global
Market Events
12:30am

JPY
Revised Industrial Production m/m
(F)1.7% (P)1.7%
2:00am

EUR
ECB President Draghi Speaks
4:30am

GBP
CPI y/y
(F)2.6% (P)2.4%
GBP
PPI Input m/m
(F)0.1% (P)-2.3%
GBP
RPI y/y
(F)3.1% (P)2.9%
GBP
Core CPI y/y
(F)2.1% (P)2%
GBP
HPI y/y
(F)2.6% (P)2.7%
GBP
PPI Output m/m
(F)0% (P)-0.1%
5:00am

EUR
German ZEW Economic Sentiment
(F)38.2 (P)36.4
EUR
ZEW Economic Sentiment
(F)29.4 (P)27.6
Tentative

GBP
BOE Inflation Letter
8:30am

USD
Building Permits
(F)0.98M (P)1.01M
USD
Core CPI m/m
(F)0.2% (P)0.1%
USD
CPI m/m
(F)0.1% (P)-0.4%
USD
Housing Starts
(F)0.95M (P)0.85M
Day 2

ALL
G8 Meetings
6:45pm

NZD
Current Account
(F)-0.64B (P)-3.26B
7:50pm

JPY
Trade Balance
(F)-0.89T (P)-0.76T
8:00pm

AUD
CB Leading Index m/m
(F)N/A (P)0.1%
8:30pm

AUD
MI Leading Index m/m
(F)N/A (P)0.2%