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Week in FX Americas – US Economic Data Mixed as Debt Ceiling Looms

Earlier this week, there was some negative news about global growth prospects from the World Bank. In its Global Economic Prospects report, which is issued twice a year, the prestigious institution said that global growth in 2013 would post a gain of 2.4%. This was down from the 3.0% estimate the World Bank stated in its June 2012 report. In explaining its downgrade, the World Bank noted persistent weaknesses in the economies of developed nations, citing austerity measures, high unemployment and weak business confidence. The report also sounded the alarm over the damage in market confidence due the ongoing fiscal battles in the US, and urged a quick resolution of the issue so as to ensure market stability.

Thursday, as the US released a host of key economic data. Unsurprisingly, the data was a mix, although mostly of a positive nature. Market sentiment jumped as employment and housing numbers were outstanding, hitting multi-year highs. Unemployment Claims, which had looked weak earlier in January, bounced back with its best performance in five years, dropping to 331 thousand new claims. This easily beat the forecast of 369K. Housing Starts also were outstanding, improving to 0.95 million. This beat the forecast of 0.89M, and was the indicator’s highest level since June 2008.

 

WEEK AHEAD

* JPY Bank of Japan Rate Decision
* AUD Consumer Prices Index
* JPY Bank of Japan Monthly Economic Report
* GBP Bank of England Minutes
* GBP Jobless Claims Change
* CAD Bank of Canada Rate Decision
* JPY National Consumer Price Index (YoY)
* GBP Gross Domestic Product
* CAD Bank Canada Consumer Price Index

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May
24
Today’s Global
Market Events
2:00am

EUR
GfK German Consumer Climate
(F)6.2 (P)6.2
EUR
German Final GDP q/q
(F)0.1% (P)0.1%
3:00am

GBP
MPC Member Fisher Speaks
4:00am

EUR
German Ifo Business Climate
(F)104.6 (P)104.4
4:30am

GBP
BBA Mortgage Approvals
(F)32.7K (P)31.2K
6:00am

EUR
German Buba President Weidmann Speaks
8:30am

USD
Core Durable Goods Orders m/m
(F)0.6% (P)-1.5%
USD
Durable Goods Orders m/m
(F)1.8% (P)-6.9%
9:00am

EUR
Belgium NBB Business Climate
(F)-13.4 (P)-14.7