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Week in FX Asia- Will Yen Buyers Wait For Muto?

It looks like a percentage of the market wants to reload by selling yen and going long dollars and euros. These are the same individuals who had off loaded similar positions ahead of the G20 meeting. Their change of heart has followed the news of the G20 communiqué, which does not take a strong stance on Japan’s yen weakening policies. Also fueling their desires to short yen again was Friday’s strong US Empire manufacturing report. From a technical perspective, the market is encroaching on large option barriers right hand-side for USD/JPY (94 &94.50).

Is there anything that can stop this selling of yen? Perhaps the knee-jerk reaction will come when the next new Governor of the Bank of Japan is appointed. If ex-MoF and BoJ official Muto becomes the chosen one, the market will initially see him as being less in favor of easing, allowing the market to buy back some of this yen. In the end it really does not matter who will be appointed Governor. Everyone eventually will have to fall in line with Abenomics.

 

WEEK AHEAD

* AUD RBA Policy Meeting Minutes
* EUR German ZEW Survey
* EUR German Consumer Price Index
* GBP Bank of England Minutes
* GBP Jobless Claims Change
* USD Fed Releases Minutes
* USD Consumer Price Index
* EUR German Gross Domestic Product
* CAD Consumer Price Index

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Posted under AUD, CNY at 8:57 am EDT, 05/17/2013
Posted under USD, EUR, GBP, JPY at 8:57 am EDT, 05/17/2013
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May
17
Today’s Global
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5:30am

GBP
MPC Member Weale Speaks
8:30am

CAD
Core CPI m/m
(F)0.2% (P)0.2%
CAD
CPI m/m
(F)0% (P)0.2%
CAD
Wholesale Sales m/m
(F)0.4% (P)0%
9:55am

USD
Prelim UoM Consumer Sentiment
(F)77.9 (P)76.4
USD
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(F)N/A (P)3.1%
10:00am

USD
CB Leading Index m/m
(F)0.3% (P)-0.1%