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Market Monitor Archive

2013 Articles

May

The Capitulation Trade Has Short Yen Positions Worried
Are We Pre-Trading A Dovish Announcement From Bernanke?
Is The Dollar To Be Given A Bull Run Break Before Ben?
EUR/USD – Quiet in Thin Holiday Trading
An Aussie Spanking Is Preferred Over A Timid EURO
Fool’s Gold – The Dollar? No Way!
Being A Persistent Dollar Bull Is Hard Work
EURO Tripped Up By A Slammed Aussie
EURO’s Survival – A Tale Of Two Ideas
A Yen For Help – Do Not Bother
EURO Choked By Options, Awaits A Catalyst
The EURO Bull Is Being Eased Along
EURO’s Zest For Loftier Heights
Yen Drop Slow and Methodical
NFP – Expect This And Be Surprised By That
ECB – To Cut, Or Not To Cut, That Is The Question
EUR/USD – Euro Continues Rally as Dollar Struggles

April

EUR/USD – Steady as Rate Cut Speculation Grows
EUR/USD – Steady as Talk of ECB Cut Grows
EUR/USD – Higher as Markets Wait for US Employment Numbers
EUR/USD – Fluctuating After More Weak German Numbers
Forget The Diamonds – Give Me The Dollar?
To Spend Or Not To Spend – That Is The Forex Question
Yen Gets The Green Light – 100 On Horizon
Investors Seek G20 Signal
At Half-Time: Yen Takes A Breather
Yen Continues To Bully The EUR
Gold Bears Mission Accomplished: Is the EUR next?
Catching The Falling EUR Knife A Winning Strategy?
EURO Market Is Happier Front Running Japanese Flow
Shorting The EUR Is Like Owning Fools Gold
BoJ Is Standing Tall – How High USD/JPY And How Fast?
It’s A Hope And A Prayer For NFP
BoJ Comes Out Swinging but NFP Could Soften Impact
Buyer Beware: It’s CB-Day and Draghi Has Some Defending To Do
EURO Tight With Options And Central Bank Decisions
Is The EURO A Good April Fool Joke?
EURO: Is It Too Late For Holiday Surprises?

March

If Depositors Run, Where Will The EURO Hide?
EURO Strangled By Options, Cyprus And Holiday’s
Owning EURO’s Needs Convincing
Short Relief But No Enthusiasm For The EUR
Flashing Red Data Knocks the Wind Out Of The EURO
Where Is This EURO Short Squeeze?
Too many Cuts, Not Enough Band Aids For The EURO
Today EURO And Yen Are Both Losers
What Has The EURO Got To Counter The Mighty Dollar?
Are The Yen Bears Afraid To Lose Face?
What Gives? EURO Is Locked, Cable Is Horrible and Yen Not Wanted
Consolidation the EURO Bear Enemy
What’s the NFP Game Plan? Is Yen to take the lead?
What Can We Expect From The ECB’s Euro?
EUROs ‘House-of-Cards’ Needs a Weaker Unit To Survive
Buy EURO Rumor; Sell Hard Fact, Tact Worth Preserving?
Dollar Safe Haven Status Intact Despite Sequester

February

EURO Weathers Another Storm-Where To Now?
All EURO Roads Lead To Rome
EUR Needs Italian Exit Polls For Clarity
Ugly LTRO Has The EURO Bleeding
No Currency War Here, But You Got To Like the EURO Result
Same Game But EURO Goals Have Shifted
EUR Temporarily Rooted But Is Looking Left
Yen Seeks Green Light From G20
EUR Unglued By Ugly GDP Assault
It’s Only Words But FX Is On The Move
Japan Can Do What It Wants According To The G7
EUR Longs Reload For LTRO Fallout
Can Draghi Bust The EUR Out Of Its Range?-UPDATE
A Yen For Your Thoughts
EURO In Correction Not Trend Change
Momentum Selling Has EURO Longs Seeking Exit
Hail The All Conquering EURO

January

Keep Your Powder Dry Ahead Of NFP
EUR Punches Above Its Weight Class
EUR Strangled By Vanilla Options And Shallow Pullbacks
What Excuse Is The EUR To Use Now?
Is the Euro Market Now Sitting On The Fence?
Whose Chain Are Central Banks Pulling?
Is The Euro Relying on Excuses?
Is The Euro “Ping-Pong” Rhetoric Strong Enough To Hunt Stops?
Spanish Bulls Chase EUR Higher
Has EU’s Juncker Given The EUR The “Kiss-of Death”?
Yield Spotting Makes EUR Roadmap Easier To Read
FX Market Wary Of ‘Safe’ Trade
“Old Lady” To Stand Still While Draghi’s ECB May Waffle
Looming ECB Rate Decision To Keep Investors At Bay
ASO Short Yen-Nope, That’s The Problem
Some Reasons Not To Commit To Selling Yen
NFP And Canada Employment: What’s the Scoop?
EURO Crapshoot Is Opening Up Holes
After Mini-Agreement: The EUR Needs The US ‘Can’ to be Kicked Further

2012 Articles

December

EURO Strength Falls Under BoJ Spell
Tedious EURO Year-End Trading
EUR’s Teflon Capabilities
Punch Drunk EURO is Wobbling
Resuscitated EUR Keeps Ticking
Negative EURO Pundits Have to Wait
EURO to Mourn Monti’s Move
Rain Soaked NFP to Save EURO?
EURO Flight keeps Prize in Sight
EURO’s course of action has not changed
How much stamina has the EUR got?

November

Has the EUR the Green Light to Pass “Go”?
The EURO Loses its Shackles
Is the EUR Confined to Lame Duck Status?
EUR Surrenders after Benchmark Print
Greek Haircut puts German Political Capital at Stake
Late Night for EU Budget as US Holiday Continues
China Manufacturing Recovery Boosts EUR
Merkel Backs Greece to Support EUR
Single Currency eyes Eurogroup for Support
Is the EUR Tired of Lofty Heights?
Where is the EUR off to now?
EUR Game plan has not changed
Germany not immune to EUR troubles
What date is the EURO crisis?
EUR Black Hole Threatens to Deepen
EUR Requires its own Jump Leads
The European Crutch is breaking
EUR Momentum is not to Specs Liking
EUR Fears Greece not US or China
EUR Bulls become Bears ahead of NFP
Is the EUR Waiting for NFP and Election to Pass?

October

Are EUR Shorts Waiting for Month End Dollar Demand?
EUR Shorts Dominate Play
EUR Rise Greased by Pound Performance
Tenative EUR Unhinged by Germany
Has the EUR the Strength to Rally with Conviction?
EUR goes from Summit to Spain
EUR Waits on Main Event
EUR Stops are Chasing a Bigger Win
EUR’s Ongoing Slow Grind
Is EUR looking to Grind Higher?
EUR Hanging Tough
Surprise and then No Surprise for the EUR
EUR’s Trading Void is Deep
EUR on the Back Foot Again?
Will NFP be a Non-Snooze Event?
Spain Confuses Market by Waiting for Bailout Request

September

Fed Plosser Deflates QE3
US Record High Home Sales as Japan Double Stimulus
EUR Pullbacks are Inevitable and Needed
EUR Event Premium To Remain Intact?
QE3 and OMT Equal a Strong EUR
Will Helicopter Ben Bring a Bazooka?
Retail EUR Short at Offside Average
Gateway of EUR Stop Losses
EUR and FED Event Risk Dominates
NFP to Give us QE3?
Will Super Mario be able to save the EURO?
EUR Jobbing is Expensive

August

Will the Dollar do an about face on the EUR?
EUR losing momentum?
EUR is Looking for Excuses
How Much of a Squeeze is the EUR Feeling?
Merkel and Hollande Boost EUR
Does EUR remain on the Main Menu?
Being Short EUR Feels Awkward?
Are Investors still looking for an excuse to own EUR’s?
Another EUR Jobbing Trade?
Can We Bore the EUR into Submission?
News Drought No Friend of EUR
Light Headed at EUR Lofty Heights
See you down there-EUR that is
It’s fitting that the EUR is under pressure
German Data to help the EUR?
Has this market got enough energy for an NFP surprise?
How the Markets should react to ECB announcement
No EUR Excuse

July

EUR Traders Wade
Official EUR Care Package?
EUR Short Squeeze is a Friend
A EUR Head Fake?
EUR Short No Thrill
EUR Retreat?
EUR needs air
EUR Remains Headline Slave
Core Yield Hurts EUR
Bernanke a Dollar White Knight?
EUR Song Remains the Same
China has EUR in a Chokehold
FOMC to provide the Light?
EUR to Squeeze Higher?
EURO is Comfortably Sold?
NFP Wake Up Call
The EUR is to do what?
EUR stable as USD celebrates Independence

June

Repeat of the typical EU Summit pattern?
EUR Head Fake?
EUR Summit leads to Stops
EUR Traders Deflated
FED to Support EUR?
Plethora of EUR Support?
EUR too Heavy to Handle?
Retail Favors EUR Shorts
Event Risk Requires a Higher EUR
EUR’s Still to Go
EUR, To Be Long or Short?
Optimism for the EUR Unjustified?
Is the EUR Now On Life Support?
Ben to crush EUR’s hopes?
Lower than Expected Economic Data Weakens USD

May

EUR Pessimism Overdone?
Weak EUR Stops Where?
EUR lacks follow through?
Pos and Polls To Squeeze EUR
Week in FX Europe May 20-25
Retail to recycle their EURs?
Do EUR Shorts Feel Comfortable?
Safe to Sell EUR in the Hole?
EUR Looking For Conviction
EURs to be Recycled
EUR Short Squeeze Too Far?
Grexit no more, Spain for EUR
Myopic EUR View Tops
EUR: No Bounce, No Lift, Why Own?
EUR Waits For True Direction
No Reason To Own EUR
EUR: No bounce, No Lift, No Life
EUR Rides Wave Lower
EUR Jitters Shorts to Reload
EUR Bears Lighten Ahead of NFP
ECB Full Confidence in Spain
No EUR Mayday

April

EUR Squeeze Persists
EUR Requires Conviction
It’s noise for all EURO B’s
Specs to Squeeze EUR ahead of FOMC
EUR Relief Rally without Teeth
EUR Bears Have Momentum?
EUR Rallies ‘Cause it Can
Spanish excuse to sell more EURs?
Spain’s EUR White Knight
EUR Struggles at Lofty Heights?
EURO Patience for Grind Lower
Freaky Friday to Break EUR?
Options and Yields Confuse EUR Positions
Bund Failure No Reason to Sell EUR
Big Dollar on the March
New EURO Paradigm
FED and Spain Game Change for EUR
EUR Bears Incremental Fears
EUR Bears Need a Break

March

EUR Firepower Expansion to Backfire
EUR to Buckle on Month End?
EUR Positions Remain Offside
Dovish Bernanke Punishes the Dollar
A EUR Range Play?
EUR Dictated by Option Demands
EUR to Rollover?
EUR Bias Remains The Same
Bernanke to derail the EUR trend?
March Dollar Madness on Dudley?
EU to Increase Firewall as Italian Derivative Bet Unravels
USD on a One Month High as Fed Tweets
EU Finance Ministers not worried about Spain
USD gets US Retail Sales boost
After Greek Debt Swap Eurogroup turns to Spain
EUR Sways on Interest
EUR Debt Relief Belief
EUR Strangled by Greek SWAP Pick Up
Where is the EUR demand?
EUR Bloodied by China
EUR Only Grinds Lower

February

LTRO2 results brings March Madness
EUR’s Risk and Reward limited until LTRO
Fast Money Sells EURs
Greece on a diet for EUR recovery
Where to now EUR?
Another Intraday EUR Squeeze?
Being Long Euros is Lonely
Another EUR Hail Mary Pass
EUR to lose Faith?
BoE and ECB Showtime
No EURO Freeze just Squeeze
EUR Pegged to be Lower?
EUR at NFPs Mercy?
Buy the EUR Rumor and Sell that Fact?

January

EUR Short Covering Just Started?
EUR Top is Where Now?
Deja Vu EURO
EUR on Supplements?
Are EUR Bears Losing the Fight?
Toss a EUR-Up or Down?
EUR Bulls Covet This Squeeze
A Letter makes a EUR difference
EUR did what was expected
EUR move Exaggerated?
Have We Missed the EUR Sweet Spot after Italian Auction?
Will the US embrace EURs new found confidence?
German Debt Well Received No Effect on EUR So Far
EUR Shorts Wait for the Next Leg Down
EURs Litany of Reasons to Short
Market Primed for Upside NFP Risk?
FX requires EUR Fixed Income to trade?
BUNDs and PMI to hurt EUR?
Risk to hurt record long dollar positions?

2011 Articles

December

Should we let the EUR Snooze?
Where to sell the EUR again?
Sell EURs and Shut Your Eyes?
EUR to be bullied lower?
EUR Tape Bombs to continue
Nein Euro solution fears ahead of ECB
Will the EUR wait for the Summit?
EUR Headline Watching
Will NFP derail any of the good done this week?
EUR under pressure despite product out the door

November

Italian issue ripe for EUR short?
Beginning of the dollar pain trade?
No Black its Red in Capital Markets
Safest of Bunds Sickens EUR
What is the EUR’s next price?
ECB or the EUR to Crack?
EURO relief better level to short
EURO headache intensifies
EUR short sell as Italy’s Yield Climbs
Italian Bonds Encourage Market Madness

Latest Articles

Posted by Stuart McPhee at 10:15 pm EDT, 05/23/2013
Posted by Stuart McPhee at 9:42 pm EDT, 05/23/2013
Posted by Stuart McPhee at 9:40 pm EDT, 05/23/2013